Log: results/adaptive_logs/run_2026-06-25T231020.log [23:10:20] Adaptive MLP — COINBASE_BTCUSD — 1 TFs [23:10:20] Config: 3 seeds/round, max 10 rounds, convergence=3 rounds, threshold=0.02 [23:10:20] Starting Calmar per TF: [23:10:20] 8H: Calmar=0.0000 next_seed=8275 (bull seeds already trained: 54) [23:10:20] ════════════════════════════════════════════════════════════ [23:10:20] Round 1/10 — 1 active TFs: 8H [23:10:20] ════════════════════════════════════════════════════════════ [23:10:20] Training: 1 TFs × 3 seeds = 3 jobs [8H=all] [23:11:17] ✅ 8H: 3/3 trained (seed8275, seed8376, seed8477) [57s+57s+57s] [23:11:17] Sweeping: 1 TFs in parallel (16 workers each) ... [23:13:23] ✅ sweep 8H: 126s [23:13:23] Improvement check: [23:13:23] — 8H: 0.0000 → 0.0000 (+0.0000) no_improve=1/3 [phase=all] [23:13:23] ════════════════════════════════════════════════════════════ [23:13:23] Round 2/10 — 1 active TFs: 8H [23:13:23] ════════════════════════════════════════════════════════════ [23:13:23] Training: 1 TFs × 3 seeds = 3 jobs [8H=all] [23:14:27] ✅ 8H: 3/3 trained (seed8578, seed8679, seed8780) [58s+58s+63s] [23:14:27] Sweeping: 1 TFs in parallel (16 workers each) ... [23:16:38] ✅ sweep 8H: 130s [23:16:38] Improvement check: [23:16:38] — 8H: 0.0000 → 0.0000 (+0.0000) no_improve=2/3 [phase=all] [23:16:38] ════════════════════════════════════════════════════════════ [23:16:38] Round 3/10 — 1 active TFs: 8H [23:16:38] ════════════════════════════════════════════════════════════ [23:16:38] Training: 1 TFs × 3 seeds = 3 jobs [8H=all] [23:17:45] ✅ 8H: 3/3 trained (seed8881, seed8982, seed9083) [66s+60s+61s] [23:17:45] Sweeping: 1 TFs in parallel (16 workers each) ... [23:19:57] ✅ sweep 8H: 132s [23:19:57] Improvement check: [23:19:57] ⚠️ 8H: 0.0000 → 0.0000 (+0.0000) no_improve=3/3 [phase=all] [23:19:57] 🔄 8H: plateau in all-regime → switching to bull (existing bull seeds: 54, next: seed6464) [23:19:57] ════════════════════════════════════════════════════════════ [23:19:57] Round 4/10 — 1 active TFs: 8H [23:19:57] ════════════════════════════════════════════════════════════ [23:19:57] Training: 1 TFs × 3 seeds = 3 jobs [8H=bull] [23:21:01] ✅ 8H: 3/3 trained (seed6464, seed6565, seed6666) [59s+59s+64s] [23:21:01] Sweeping: 1 TFs in parallel (16 workers each) ... [23:23:18] ✅ sweep 8H: 137s [23:23:18] Improvement check: [23:23:18] — 8H: 0.0000 → 0.0000 (+0.0000) no_improve=1/3 [phase=bull] [23:23:18] ════════════════════════════════════════════════════════════ [23:23:18] Round 5/10 — 1 active TFs: 8H [23:23:18] ════════════════════════════════════════════════════════════ [23:23:18] Training: 1 TFs × 3 seeds = 3 jobs [8H=bull] [23:24:19] ✅ 8H: 3/3 trained (seed6767, seed6868, seed6969) [60s+60s+60s] [23:24:19] Sweeping: 1 TFs in parallel (16 workers each) ... [23:26:36] ✅ sweep 8H: 136s [23:26:36] Improvement check: [23:26:36] — 8H: 0.0000 → 0.0000 (+0.0000) no_improve=2/3 [phase=bull] [23:26:36] ════════════════════════════════════════════════════════════ [23:26:36] Round 6/10 — 1 active TFs: 8H [23:26:36] ════════════════════════════════════════════════════════════ [23:26:36] Training: 1 TFs × 3 seeds = 3 jobs [8H=bull] [23:27:37] ✅ 8H: 3/3 trained (seed7070, seed7171, seed7272) [60s+60s+60s] [23:27:37] Sweeping: 1 TFs in parallel (16 workers each) ... [23:29:57] ✅ sweep 8H: 140s [23:29:57] Improvement check: [23:29:57] ⚠️ 8H: 0.0000 → 0.0000 (+0.0000) no_improve=3/3 [phase=bull] [23:29:57] 🚫 8H: RETIRED (converged in all + bull phases) [23:29:57] All TFs retired — stopping. [23:29:57] ════════════════════════════════════════════════════════════ [23:29:57] ADAPTIVE LOOP COMPLETE — 6 rounds in 19m37s [23:29:57] ════════════════════════════════════════════════════════════ Calmar improvement summary: ───────────────────────────────────────────────────────────────── TF Calmar Before Calmar After Delta Phase Won Rounds ───────────────────────────────────────────────────────────────── 8H 0.0000 0.0000 +0.0000 — 6 ───────────────────────────────────────────────────────────────── No Calmar improvements — all TFs at architecture/feature ceiling. [23:29:57] Running mlp_results_table... TF PnL % Max DD % Win Rate PnL % (thru 2026-06-25) OOS PnL % (2026-03-01+) ----- ------------ ---------- ------------------ ---------------------- -------------------------- 4H +1,612.4% -14.4% 57% (33/58) +1,436.3% -10.3% (3 trades) 6H +13,829.8% -24.5% 70% (39/56) +13,829.8% +0.0% (0 trades) 8H +35,646.3% -31.2% 71% (44/62) +37,999.3% +6.6% (2 trades) 12H +9,561.9% -35.6% 49% (68/139) +8,389.0% -12.1% (3 trades) 1D +6,452.7% -40.8% 45% (67/149) +5,758.2% -9.9% (3 trades) [23:29:59] ntfy sent