Log: results/adaptive_logs/run_2026-06-25T230320.log
[23:03:21] Adaptive MLP — COINBASE_BTCUSD — 1 TFs
[23:03:21] Config: 3 seeds/round, max 10 rounds, convergence=3 rounds, threshold=0.02
[23:03:21] Starting Calmar per TF:
[23:03:21]   8H: Calmar=0.0000  next_seed=7366 (bull seeds already trained: 45)
[23:03:21] 
════════════════════════════════════════════════════════════
[23:03:21] Round 1/10 — 1 active TFs: 8H
[23:03:21] ════════════════════════════════════════════════════════════
[23:03:21] Training: 1 TFs × 3 seeds = 3 jobs [8H=all]
[23:04:24]   ✅ 8H: 3/3 trained  (seed7366, seed7467, seed7568) [58s+63s+58s]
[23:04:24] Sweeping: 1 TFs in parallel (16 workers each) ...
[23:04:24]   ❌ sweep 8H: exit 1 after 0s — see /tmp/mlp_sweep_COINBASE_BTCUSD_8H.log
[23:04:24] Improvement check:
[23:04:24]   — 8H: 0.0000 → 0.0000 (+0.0000)  no_improve=1/3 [phase=all]
[23:04:24] 
════════════════════════════════════════════════════════════
[23:04:24] Round 2/10 — 1 active TFs: 8H
[23:04:24] ════════════════════════════════════════════════════════════
[23:04:24] Training: 1 TFs × 3 seeds = 3 jobs [8H=all]
[23:05:21]   ✅ 8H: 3/3 trained  (seed7669, seed7770, seed7871) [57s+57s+57s]
[23:05:21] Sweeping: 1 TFs in parallel (16 workers each) ...
[23:05:22]   ❌ sweep 8H: exit 1 after 0s — see /tmp/mlp_sweep_COINBASE_BTCUSD_8H.log
[23:05:22] Improvement check:
[23:05:22]   — 8H: 0.0000 → 0.0000 (+0.0000)  no_improve=2/3 [phase=all]
[23:05:22] 
════════════════════════════════════════════════════════════
[23:05:22] Round 3/10 — 1 active TFs: 8H
[23:05:22] ════════════════════════════════════════════════════════════
[23:05:22] Training: 1 TFs × 3 seeds = 3 jobs [8H=all]
[23:06:25]   ✅ 8H: 3/3 trained  (seed7972, seed8073, seed8174) [62s+57s+57s]
[23:06:25] Sweeping: 1 TFs in parallel (16 workers each) ...
[23:06:25]   ❌ sweep 8H: exit 1 after 0s — see /tmp/mlp_sweep_COINBASE_BTCUSD_8H.log
[23:06:25] Improvement check:
[23:06:25]   ⚠️ 8H: 0.0000 → 0.0000 (+0.0000)  no_improve=3/3 [phase=all]
[23:06:25]   🔄 8H: plateau in all-regime → switching to bull (existing bull seeds: 45, next: seed5555)
[23:06:25] 
════════════════════════════════════════════════════════════
[23:06:25] Round 4/10 — 1 active TFs: 8H
[23:06:25] ════════════════════════════════════════════════════════════
[23:06:25] Training: 1 TFs × 3 seeds = 3 jobs [8H=bull]
[23:07:28]   ✅ 8H: 3/3 trained  (seed5555, seed5656, seed5757) [62s+57s+62s]
[23:07:28] Sweeping: 1 TFs in parallel (16 workers each) ...
[23:07:28]   ❌ sweep 8H: exit 1 after 0s — see /tmp/mlp_sweep_COINBASE_BTCUSD_8H.log
[23:07:28] Improvement check:
[23:07:28]   — 8H: 0.0000 → 0.0000 (+0.0000)  no_improve=1/3 [phase=bull]
[23:07:28] 
════════════════════════════════════════════════════════════
[23:07:28] Round 5/10 — 1 active TFs: 8H
[23:07:28] ════════════════════════════════════════════════════════════
[23:07:28] Training: 1 TFs × 3 seeds = 3 jobs [8H=bull]
[23:08:30]   ✅ 8H: 3/3 trained  (seed5858, seed5959, seed6060) [57s+57s+62s]
[23:08:30] Sweeping: 1 TFs in parallel (16 workers each) ...
[23:08:30]   ❌ sweep 8H: exit 1 after 0s — see /tmp/mlp_sweep_COINBASE_BTCUSD_8H.log
[23:08:30] Improvement check:
[23:08:30]   — 8H: 0.0000 → 0.0000 (+0.0000)  no_improve=2/3 [phase=bull]
[23:08:30] 
════════════════════════════════════════════════════════════
[23:08:30] Round 6/10 — 1 active TFs: 8H
[23:08:30] ════════════════════════════════════════════════════════════
[23:08:30] Training: 1 TFs × 3 seeds = 3 jobs [8H=bull]
[23:09:28]   ✅ 8H: 3/3 trained  (seed6161, seed6262, seed6363) [57s+57s+57s]
[23:09:28] Sweeping: 1 TFs in parallel (16 workers each) ...
[23:09:28]   ❌ sweep 8H: exit 1 after 0s — see /tmp/mlp_sweep_COINBASE_BTCUSD_8H.log
[23:09:28] Improvement check:
[23:09:28]   ⚠️ 8H: 0.0000 → 0.0000 (+0.0000)  no_improve=3/3 [phase=bull]
[23:09:28]   🚫 8H: RETIRED (converged in all + bull phases)
[23:09:28] All TFs retired — stopping.
[23:09:28] 
════════════════════════════════════════════════════════════
[23:09:28] ADAPTIVE LOOP COMPLETE — 6 rounds in 6m7s
[23:09:28] ════════════════════════════════════════════════════════════

Calmar improvement summary:

─────────────────────────────────────────────────────────────────
TF      Calmar Before  Calmar After    Delta  Phase Won    Rounds
─────────────────────────────────────────────────────────────────
  8H            0.0000        0.0000  +0.0000  —            6
─────────────────────────────────────────────────────────────────
  No Calmar improvements — all TFs at architecture/feature ceiling.

[23:09:28] Running mlp_results_table...

TF           PnL %   Max DD %           Win Rate        PnL % (thru 2026-06-25)           OOS PnL % (2026-03-01+)
----- ------------ ---------- ------------------        ----------------------        --------------------------
4H       +1,612.4%     -14.4%        57% (33/58)                     +1,436.3%                 -10.3% (3 trades)
6H      +13,829.8%     -24.5%        70% (39/56)                    +13,829.8%                  +0.0% (0 trades)
8H      +35,646.3%     -31.2%        71% (44/62)                    +37,999.3%                  +6.6% (2 trades)
12H      +9,561.9%     -35.6%       49% (68/139)                     +8,389.0%                 -12.1% (3 trades)
1D       +6,452.7%     -40.8%       45% (67/149)                     +5,758.2%                  -9.9% (3 trades)

[23:09:30] ntfy sent