Log: results/adaptive_logs/run_2026-06-25T202506.log
[20:25:07] Adaptive MLP — COINBASE_BTCUSD — 1 TFs
[20:25:07] Config: 3 seeds/round, max 10 rounds, convergence=3 rounds, threshold=0.02
[20:25:07] Starting Calmar per TF:
[20:25:07]   4H: Calmar=0.3108  next_seed=5545 (bull seeds already trained: 33)
[20:25:07] 
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[20:25:07] Round 1/10 — 1 active TFs: 4H
[20:25:07] ════════════════════════════════════════════════════════════
[20:25:07] Training: 1 TFs × 3 seeds = 3 jobs [4H=all]
[20:26:23]   ✅ 4H: 3/3 trained  (seed5545, seed5646, seed5747) [69s+76s+69s]
[20:26:23] Sweeping: 1 TFs in parallel (16 workers each) ...
[20:28:21]   ✅ sweep 4H: 118s
[20:28:21] Improvement check:
[20:28:21]   — 4H: 0.3108 → 0.3108 (+0.0000)  no_improve=1/3 [phase=all]
[20:28:21] 
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[20:28:21] Round 2/10 — 1 active TFs: 4H
[20:28:21] ════════════════════════════════════════════════════════════
[20:28:21] Training: 1 TFs × 3 seeds = 3 jobs [4H=all]
[20:29:39]   ✅ 4H: 3/3 trained  (seed5848, seed5949, seed6050) [69s+69s+78s]
[20:29:39] Sweeping: 1 TFs in parallel (16 workers each) ...
[20:31:40]   ✅ sweep 4H: 120s
[20:31:40] Improvement check:
[20:31:40]   — 4H: 0.3108 → 0.3108 (+0.0000)  no_improve=2/3 [phase=all]
[20:31:40] 
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[20:31:40] Round 3/10 — 1 active TFs: 4H
[20:31:40] ════════════════════════════════════════════════════════════
[20:31:40] Training: 1 TFs × 3 seeds = 3 jobs [4H=all]
[20:33:00]   ✅ 4H: 3/3 trained  (seed6151, seed6252, seed6353) [80s+68s+69s]
[20:33:00] Sweeping: 1 TFs in parallel (16 workers each) ...
[20:35:04]   ✅ sweep 4H: 123s
[20:35:04] Improvement check:
[20:35:04]   ⚠️ 4H: 0.3108 → 0.3108 (+0.0000)  no_improve=3/3 [phase=all]
[20:35:04]   🔄 4H: plateau in all-regime → switching to bull (existing bull seeds: 33, next: seed5555)
[20:35:04] 
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[20:35:04] Round 4/10 — 1 active TFs: 4H
[20:35:04] ════════════════════════════════════════════════════════════
[20:35:04] Training: 1 TFs × 3 seeds = 3 jobs [4H=bull]
[20:36:23]   ✅ 4H: 3/3 trained  (seed5555, seed5656, seed5757) [78s+78s+70s]
[20:36:23] Sweeping: 1 TFs in parallel (16 workers each) ...
[20:38:27]   ✅ sweep 4H: 124s
[20:38:27] Improvement check:
[20:38:27]   — 4H: 0.3108 → 0.3108 (+0.0000)  no_improve=1/3 [phase=bull]
[20:38:27] 
════════════════════════════════════════════════════════════
[20:38:27] Round 5/10 — 1 active TFs: 4H
[20:38:27] ════════════════════════════════════════════════════════════
[20:38:27] Training: 1 TFs × 3 seeds = 3 jobs [4H=bull]
[20:39:45]   ✅ 4H: 3/3 trained  (seed5858, seed5959, seed6060) [77s+69s+69s]
[20:39:45] Sweeping: 1 TFs in parallel (16 workers each) ...
[20:41:51]   ✅ sweep 4H: 125s
[20:41:51] Improvement check:
[20:41:51]   — 4H: 0.3108 → 0.3108 (+0.0000)  no_improve=2/3 [phase=bull]
[20:41:51] 
════════════════════════════════════════════════════════════
[20:41:51] Round 6/10 — 1 active TFs: 4H
[20:41:51] ════════════════════════════════════════════════════════════
[20:41:51] Training: 1 TFs × 3 seeds = 3 jobs [4H=bull]
[20:43:10]   ✅ 4H: 3/3 trained  (seed6161, seed6262, seed6363) [69s+78s+69s]
[20:43:10] Sweeping: 1 TFs in parallel (16 workers each) ...
[20:45:18]   ✅ sweep 4H: 128s
[20:45:18] Improvement check:
[20:45:18]   ⚠️ 4H: 0.3108 → 0.3108 (+0.0000)  no_improve=3/3 [phase=bull]
[20:45:18]   🚫 4H: RETIRED (converged in all + bull phases)
[20:45:18] All TFs retired — stopping.
[20:45:18] 
════════════════════════════════════════════════════════════
[20:45:18] ADAPTIVE LOOP COMPLETE — 6 rounds in 20m11s
[20:45:18] ════════════════════════════════════════════════════════════

Calmar improvement summary:

─────────────────────────────────────────────────────────────────
TF      Calmar Before  Calmar After    Delta  Phase Won    Rounds
─────────────────────────────────────────────────────────────────
  4H            0.3108        0.3108  +0.0000  —            6
─────────────────────────────────────────────────────────────────
  No Calmar improvements — all TFs at architecture/feature ceiling.

[20:45:18] Running mlp_results_table...

TF           PnL %   Max DD %           Win Rate        PnL % (thru 2026-06-25)           OOS PnL % (2026-03-01+)
----- ------------ ---------- ------------------        ----------------------        --------------------------
4H       +1,612.4%     -14.4%        57% (33/58)                     +1,436.3%                 -10.3% (3 trades)
6H      +13,829.8%     -24.5%        70% (39/56)                    +13,829.8%                  +0.0% (0 trades)
8H      +35,646.3%     -31.2%        71% (44/62)                    +37,999.3%                  +6.6% (2 trades)
12H      +9,561.9%     -35.6%       49% (68/139)                     +8,389.0%                 -12.1% (3 trades)
1D       +6,452.7%     -40.8%       45% (67/149)                     +5,758.2%                  -9.9% (3 trades)

[20:45:20] ntfy sent